1. Rates & cost of capital
2Y 4.79%, 10Y 5.21%, real 10Y 2.88%, as of 2026-10-13. Five-session change in the 10-year: n/a (value was not in data.json).
2. Fed
Target range 3.75–4.00%. Cumulative three-meeting expectation n/a (CME fed-funds path not available).
3. Valuation & equity risk premium
S&P 500 forward P/E n/a (FactSet lag; not refreshed for 14.10). ERP n/a (value was not in data.json). Nasdaq-100 forward P/E n/a (No verified NDX forward PE source this run).
4. Credit
HY OAS 316 bp as of 2026-10-13. 20-session change n/a (20-day HY OAS change not recomputed).
5. Commodities & dollar
Brent 125.44 as of 2026-10-06, 20-session change n/a (20-day Brent change not recomputed; last EIA spot lagged). DXY n/a (DXY not fetched).
Week ahead (ET)
Coming sessions: 2026-10-15 08:30 Initial jobless claims; September retail sales; PPI; 2026-10-15 09:15 Industrial production; 2026-10-16 QQQ weekly options expiry.
Fundamental Scorecard
| Component | Reading | Score |
|---|---|---|
| ERP (EY − 10Y) | n/a (value was not in data.json) | excluded |
| 10Y real | 2.88 | -2 |
| 10Y, 5-session change | n/a (value was not in data.json) | excluded |
| NTM EPS revision, 4 weeks | n/a (value was not in data.json) | excluded |
| HY OAS, 20 sessions | n/a (20-day HY OAS change not recomputed) | excluded |
| Fed, 3 meetings | n/a (CME fed-funds path not available) | excluded |
| Brent, 20 sessions | n/a (20-day Brent change not recomputed; last EIA spot lagged) | excluded |
| Total | -2 |
Sources
- n/a (no sources recorded for this section)