Editor’s Notes
Contemporaneous commentary accompanying the public Convexa Strategy record.
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October 19, 2026Editor's Note
Market and time worked together
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October 16, 2026Editor's Note
A second losing session, smaller than Thursday's
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October 15, 2026Editor's Note
A return to neutrality
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October 14, 2026Editor's Note
Index decline outweighed the other factors of the session
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October 13, 2026Editor's Note
Direction outweighed time
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October 12, 2026Editor's Note
Time and Volatility Outweighed a Falling Market
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October 9, 2026Editor's Note
A Quiet Day Is the Best Day for a Volatility Seller
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October 8, 2026Editor's Note
The Nasdaq-100 fell 1.39% while the equal-weight RSP rose 0.60%: this was a rotation out of the largest technology names rather than a retreat from risk. The 10-year…
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October 7, 2026Editor's Note
Short Volatility Delivered a Gain for the Account
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October 6, 2026Editor's Note
Lower Volatility Outweighed the Market Move
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October 5, 2026Editor's Note
The market is rising, and so is volatility. Since September 18 the Nasdaq-100 has gained about 4%, while the VXN volatility index rose from 19.3 to 22.5 points (October…
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October 2, 2026Editor's Note
Tail volatility in the upper wing of the surface, at strikes above the current price, rose for most of the week. It peaked on the morning of October 2: after a soft…
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October 1, 2026Editor's Note
The October 1 session was another day of rising implied volatility in the wings of the surface. Volatility moved in both directions through the day. The most telling…
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September 30, 2026Editor's Note
The September 30 session was calm. Implied volatility at longer tenors continued to rise, while volatility in the upper wing of the surface, at strikes above the current…
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September 29, 2026Editor's Note
The September 29 session was marked by subdued realized volatility, yet the market is already pricing the risk of upcoming events into option premiums. Implied…
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September 28, 2026Editor's Note
The September 28 session offered a clear illustration of how the strategy performs in a two-way market.
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September 25, 2026Editor's Note
This was a difficult week and the weakest since the beginning of the strategy’s public track record. Several factors contributed to the result, and each provided useful…
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September 24, 2026Editor's Note
Yesterday’s session was relatively calm, with no meaningful directional move in the underlying market. Volatility initially declined, briefly suggesting some…
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September 23, 2026Editor's Note
Yesterday was a relatively calm session, but volatility behavior remained unusual. Despite the market decline, implied volatility in the far upside tail continued to…
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September 22, 2026Editor's Note
Yesterday continued the unfavorable regime for the strategy. Tail volatility kept rising despite only a modest move in the underlying market. Because realized movement…
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September 21, 2026Editor's Note
Yesterday the market produced one of the least favorable scenarios for our portfolio construction: a strong rise in the underlying index accompanied by a material…
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September 18, 2026Manager's Note
The session was broadly calm despite the expiration of a very large volume of options. No major market event disrupted trading, and realized movement remained limited.