1. Key Metrics
| Instrument | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| QQQ | 743.57 | −0.33% |
| Nasdaq-100 | 30,569.48 | −0.31% |
| SPY | 778.01 | −0.01% |
| S&P 500 | 7,805.45 | −0.02% |
| RSP | 213.30 | +0.05% |
| QQEW | 161.30 | −0.47% |
2. Trend
QQQ: 20-day 741.34 (+0.30%, rising 1.32% over five sessions), 50-day 726.55 (+2.34%, rising 0.94%), 200-day 673.40 (+10.42%, rising). SPY: 20-day 769.87 (+1.06%), 50-day 768.60 (+1.22%), 200-day 723.82 (+7.49%).
3. Momentum & price volatility
RSI(14): QQQ 54.6 (prior 56.6), SPY 59.2. ATR(14) QQQ 8.84 (1.19%). RV10 11.63%, RV20 15.03%.
4. Levels
Resistance 746.04 (prior close), 762.86 (record high). Support 741.34 (20-day), 738.83 (session low), 726.55 (50-day). Zero gamma 745.43 (model).
5. Breadth
n/a — not computed for Oct 13 in this run.
6. Concentration & relative strength
Top-10 NDX: META +2.63%, NVDA +0.97%, AVGO +0.73%, MSFT +0.43%, GOOGL +0.30%, GOOG +0.16%, AAPL +0.09%; AMZN −0.37%, TSLA −0.74%, SPCX −4.21%. QQQ lagged SPY by 0.32 pp, and QQEW's 0.47% decline showed pressure broader than in the largest members.
7. Divergences
Price versus volume: QQQ declined on rising volume. Equal-weight versus cap-weight: RSP +0.05% vs SPY −0.01%; QQEW −0.47% vs QQQ −0.33%.
What Would Change the Regime
- QQQ close below 741.34 → short-term Neutral.
- Close below 726.55 → medium-term Neutral.
- Close above 762.86 → new high.
Sources
Nasdaq.com historical data (Oct 12 and Oct 13 closes); S&P 500 session close (Cboe); own calculations.