1. Key Metrics
| Instrument | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| QQQ | 728.00 | −0.13% |
| Nasdaq-100 | 29,935.59 | −0.05% |
| SPY | 771.79 | +0.28% |
| S&P 500 | 7,744.06 | +0.33% |
| RSP | 215.00 | +1.37% |
| QQEW | 159.59 | +1.19% |
2. Trend
QQQ: 20-day 743.10 (−2.03%, slope +1.00% over five sessions), 50-day 726.87 (+0.16%, rising 0.51%), 200-day 674.46 (+7.94%, rising). SPY: 20-day 771.11 (+0.09%), 50-day 768.61 (+0.41%), 200-day 724.64 (+6.51%).
3. Momentum & price volatility
RSI(14): QQQ 44.1 (prior 44.6), SPY 51.8. ATR(14) QQQ 9.76 (1.34%). RV10 15.27%, RV20 16.03%.
4. Levels
Resistance 743.10 (20-day), 728.95 (prior close), 762.86 (record high). Support 726.87 (50-day), 715.43 (session low). Zero gamma 734.92 (model).
5. Breadth
n/a — not computed for Oct 15 in this run.
6. Concentration & relative strength
Top-10 NDX: MSFT +1.08%, GOOGL +0.45%, GOOG +0.37%, AMZN +0.27%; META −0.11%, AAPL −0.28%, AVGO −0.55%, TSLA −1.29%, NVDA −1.84%, SPCX −2.33%. QQQ lagged SPY by 0.41 pp, while QQEW's 1.19% gain showed the recovery was broader than the largest members.
7. Divergences
Price versus volume: QQQ recovered from the low on slightly lower volume than the prior session. Equal-weight versus cap-weight: RSP +1.37% vs SPY +0.28%; QQEW +1.19% vs QQQ −0.13%.
What Would Change the Regime
- QQQ close above 743.10 → short-term Bullish.
- Close below 726.87 → medium-term Neutral.
- Close above 762.86 → new high.
Sources
Nasdaq.com historical data (Oct 14 and Oct 15 closes); S&P 500 session close (Cboe); own calculations.