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Home/Technical Analysis/October 16, 2026
CONVEXA · DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT

Technical Report for October 16, 2026

For the trading session ended October 16, 2026

1. Key Metrics

InstrumentCloseChange
QQQ709.80−2.50%
Nasdaq-10029187.55−2.50%
SPY763.25−1.11%
S&P 5007659.44−1.09%
RSP214.09−0.42%
QQEW154.66−3.09%

2. Trend

QQQ: close 709.80. sma20 742.52. sma50 726.77. sma200 674.91. SPY: close 763.25. sma20 771.18. sma50 768.50. sma200 725.01.

3. Momentum & price volatility

RSI(14) QQQ 35.0, SPY 43.8. ATR(14) QQQ 10.55. RV10 17.63%, RV20 18.34%.

4. Breadth

NDX above the 50-day n/a (NDX/S&P breadth not computed in this run); above the 200-day n/a (NDX/S&P breadth not computed in this run). S&P 500 above the 20-day n/a (NDX/S&P breadth not computed in this run).

5. Concentration

Top-10 NDX percent changes: MSFT −1.93%, GOOGL −2.47%, GOOG −2.32%, AMZN −1.87%, META −3.72%, AAPL +0.43%, AVGO −4.52%, TSLA −2.13%, NVDA −1.43%, SPCX −1.74%.

What Would Change the Regime

  • If QQQ closes through its 20-day average (742.52), the short-term regime changes under section 2.9.

Sources

  • prices.NDX: Yahoo Finance chart API ^NDX daily close; session of 16 Oct 2026
  • prices.QQEW: Yahoo Finance chart API QQEW daily close; session of 16 Oct 2026
  • prices.QQQ: Yahoo Finance chart API QQQ daily close; session of 16 Oct 2026
  • prices.RSP: Yahoo Finance chart API RSP daily close; session of 16 Oct 2026
  • prices.SPX: Yahoo Finance chart API ^GSPC daily close; session of 16 Oct 2026
  • prices.SPY: Yahoo Finance chart API SPY daily close; session of 16 Oct 2026